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Posted: Fri Feb 06, 2009 4:28 pm Post subject: 6 NATIONS 2009
The 2009 tournament starts this weekend with the following fixtures.
Saturday
1500 England v Italy
1700 Ireland v France
Sunday
1500 Scotland v Wales
In the 6 Nations of 2007 & 2008 and the RWC of 2007 this feature has made a profit of around 50 POINTS on each occasion and the aim this time is again to produce a profit of 50 POINTS+.
I expect home wins on Saturday and an away win on Sunday.
England should prove too strong for Italy but the conservative selection(Goode/Ellis) by Johnson should ensure a dull grinding victory.In Dublin the wintry conditions will favour the home team with "les bleus" hating every minute.On Sunday Wales(without "glamour boy Henson") should prove too strong for Scotland(poorly selected why no Thom Evans?).
So to bet !
All prices /handicaps are generally available unless a particular bookie is specifically stated(maximum bet = 10POINTS).
A pleasing enough start last weekend with 13 POINTS invested and 28POINTS returned giving a running total of
-18POINTS
This weekend we have
Saturday
1500 France v Scotland
1730 Wales v England
Sunday
1430 Italy v Ireland
On Saturday expect 2 home wins and an away win on Sunday(anyone see a pattern emerging here?).
Briefly Hadden has become more adventurous(as I urged last weekend) and I think Johnson is trying to bore the Welsh to sleep by slowing the game down and Goode kicking England to a narrow victory.Sunday should see Ireland far too strong for Italy although Ireland shouldn't expect the presents that England received via Mallett/Bergamasco.
So let's applaud and support enterprise and hope flair triumphs over pragmatism.
Scotland (+15) - 2POINTS win at evens
Wales (-10) - 3POINTS win at evens
Ireland (-13) - 5POINTS win at evens
Then 2POINTS win handicap double on Wales & Ireland
Running total = -30POINTS
Was hoping to put up some more interesting small punts e.g. total match points/tryscorers/margins etc but short of time today so will stick to the basics.Will try(sic) to do so for next round of matches.
Good luck & enjoy.
AWAYWARDLAD- 13 February 2009 _________________ Always remember you're unique,just like everyone else.
12 POINTS invested and 14POINTS returned so running total
-16POINTS
Helpfully Halfpenny scored another try and Sackey opened his account.
A break next weekend before a very decisive weekend for this column starting on the Friday evening (27th) @ 2000hrs when France host Wales. _________________ Always remember you're unique,just like everyone else.
It's weekend 3 of the 2009 6 Nations with the following fixtures:-
FRIDAY
2000hrs France v Wales
SATURDAY
1500 hrs Scotland v Italy
1730 hrs Ireland v England
This will be a defining weekend for this feature and the aim of making +50 POINTS over the tournament.So will we see the pattern of home wins on a Saturday and an away win in the other match?I think so!
In Paris a jaded France host a well-rested and confident looking Wales.On current form I would expect Wales to win this 4 times out of 5.So will this be the exception?France have injury problems and 9 of their squad were involved in a bruising club encounter only 5 days ago.So Wales to win well as France tire late on in the game.
Murrayfield plays host to the wooden spoon decider and a turgid affair is expected.Italy have not impressed this campaign so Scotland to win comfortably in a dull game.
At Croke Park a high-octane close match is anticipated with the unbeaten Ireland entertaining an improving England.I expect a close game and can just envisage Ronan o'Gara dropping a goal for Ireland in the last minute to seal a win for Ireland and propel them to a Grand Slam decider with Wales.
So
Wales (-2) 8POINTS win at evens.
Scotland(-9) 5POINTSwin at evens
England(+7) 3POINTSwin at evens
Specials
Our pre-tournament specials are mostly still in play and looking hopeful.So will suggest a few "fun" bets to spice up this weekend's viewing.
All these bets are 1 POINT win
Wales to win by 11-15 - 7/1
Scotland to win by 6-10 - 5/1
Ireland to win by 1-5 - 11/2
No tryscorer in Scotland v Italy match - 20/1
Under 38 points scored in Scotland game - evens
Under 40 points scored in Ireland game - evens.
Total invested is 22points giving a running total of
-38 POINTS
Good luck.
AWAYWARDLAD - 27 February 2009 _________________ Always remember you're unique,just like everyone else.
22 POINTS invested this week and 26.5 POINTS returned giving a running total of:-
-11.5POINTS
For the 3rd weekend in a row we made a profit albeit a modest one.But the critical match at Murrayfield went as anticipated so the "Specials" are now starting to look promising.
Another break next weekend before consecutive weekends see the conclusion of the 2009 6 Nations.Can we hit our target of + 50 POINTS? _________________ Always remember you're unique,just like everyone else.
The final weekend of the 2009 6 Nations has all 3 matches on Saturday fittingly climaxing with Wales hosting Ireland.
1315 - Italy v France
1530 - England v Scotland
1730 - Wales v Ireland.
As we know any wagers involving France are a little like doing the national lottery so will keep stakes low.England buoyed by the emphatic win last week should be too strong for the Scots who still lack a cutting edge behind the scrum.So Enland to win comfortably then.
In Cardiff both sides can win the title but for Wales to do so they must beat Ireland by 13 points or more.I think it is beyond Wales and their title hopes were scuppered by an inept performance in Rome last week.However I think Wales will win the match(by less than 13) to secure the Triple Crown and deny Ireland a Grand Slam too. The Ireland consolation will be the title.
The 6 Nations concluded dramatically on Saturday evening with an Ireland Grand Slam - their first for 61 years and well deserved.
If generous with the fractions can just about claim another winning weekend with 20 POINTS invested and 20.5POINTS returned giving a running total of -14 POINTS.
BUT by taking the winning specials from week 1 into account (Italy & Scotland) we can add a further 38POINTS giving a total for the 5 weeks of...
+24POINTS
Clearly not the 50 POINTS I wanted but still a profit again.
Thank you to all who read this feature and I hope you got something out of it.
That's all for now folks
AWAYWARDLAD - 24 March 2009
_________________ Always remember you're unique,just like everyone else.
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