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YAIYAM
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PostPosted: Mon Aug 10, 2009 8:59 pm    Post subject: US PGA Reply with quote

Thoughts and views on best bets for this event
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ngreggors
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PostPosted: Tue Aug 11, 2009 9:28 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

After his storming round on Sunday I fancy Lee Westwood to at least finish in the top 5.
Clearly length off the tee will be important so players like Cabrera & Quiros may be worth punting. Will try and pick out some value bets later when I can access some odds.
The market without Woods may well be the way forward again this week!!
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YAIYAM
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PostPosted: Tue Aug 11, 2009 1:13 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

After reading through the hole by hole explanations and where they have lengthened this course since 2002 I would say length is not going to be that Important off the Tee as the par 5's are the ones where alot of the length has been added and to me this means the long hitters will have no advantage at all and if anything may be even disadvantaged as they are that long that they will not even reach in 2 which makes them 3 shot greens giving the advantage more so to the accurate drivers and decent Iron players.
The only hole the long hitters may have some advantage is the 12th where they will be playing the higher Irons in compared to some who may have to take a 5 wood or low Iron.
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YAIYAM
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PostPosted: Tue Aug 11, 2009 5:26 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

The more you read about this course the harder it seems to get.
It sounds more like a US Open course than a PGA one.
It is going to be really difficult to find a player that is going to make the top 5/6 (woods aside) and for this reason I am going to try and take a safety route and look for some value in the Top 20 market, saying that i am surprised that Westwood is 11/4 for a Top 10 as apart from Woods he must be playing the best Golf.
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awaywardlad
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PostPosted: Wed Aug 12, 2009 9:13 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

YAIYAM wrote:
After reading through the hole by hole explanations and where they have lengthened this course since 2002 I would say length is not going to be that Important off the Tee as the par 5's are the ones where alot of the length has been added and to me this means the long hitters will have no advantage at all and if anything may be even disadvantaged as they are that long that they will not even reach in 2 which makes them 3 shot greens giving the advantage more so to the accurate drivers and decent Iron players.
The only hole the long hitters may have some advantage is the 12th where they will be playing the higher Irons in compared to some who may have to take a 5 wood or low Iron.


Not necessarily a long hitters course so it does bring the likes of Clark,Stricker,Verplank & Weir into the equation.

Have "free" bets from Blue Square which I needed to use so have put on Woods @ 7/4 .Other than that will be looking for value in top 10/20 etc etc.

Initial other than Woods thoughts are Westwood & Mahan.

Will post picks by latest tomorrow morning.
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awaywardlad
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PostPosted: Thu Aug 13, 2009 10:14 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Westwood/Mahan/  - top 10

1st round leader - Snedeker/Gay both 100/1 ew

Long shots  top 20  - Daly/Quigley/McKenzie

EW shots - with/woTiger - Watney(100)Choi(175)Cabrera(50) & Austin(225)

That's it for now - will update as tournament progresses.
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YAIYAM
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PostPosted: Thu Aug 13, 2009 10:23 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Top 20
Na @ 7/1
All @ 3/1
Don @ 16/5
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PostPosted: Thu Aug 13, 2009 11:40 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

4pts woods 2/1 lads ,hills
Top American without Woods
1pt ew Hunter Mahon sj
1pt ew Stricker 12s genera
Without woods market
1pt ew Westwood 20s lads.vc
Top European
3pts Westwood 7s corals
top Australasian
2pts Allenby 5s general
Total stake=15 pts.
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PostPosted: Thu Aug 13, 2009 11:53 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Leftie is a great pick for this IMHO

He has beaten Woods in both majors they have played in this year, has the iron play needed for this course and is sneaking in under the radar

i will take him oughtright, both with and without Woods and top 10 to cover the other two bets
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ngreggors
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PostPosted: Thu Aug 13, 2009 2:39 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Have gone for Villegas, Westwood, Quiros & Molinari at varying stakes all in the market without Woods.
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value seeker
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PostPosted: Sun Aug 16, 2009 7:54 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Tigers won already ,no he hasnt value seeker ,he is two clear going into the final round with Pad on his tail.
Well if you backed the Tiger with paddy power he was declared the winner at 3.25 pm on Saturday,it has cost the company £1.25 million ,it could be one gamble Paddy regrets as another Paddy could well upset the applecart.

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PostPosted: Sun Aug 16, 2009 8:14 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

value seeker wrote:
Tigers won already ,no he hasnt value seeker ,he is two clear going into the final round with Pad on his tail.
Well if you backed the Tiger with paddy power he was declared the winner at 3.25 pm on Saturday,it has cost the company £1.25 million ,it could be one gamble Paddy regrets as another Paddy could well upset the applecart.


Never lost a tournament leading on the last day has he? Think Paddy Power are safe
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Owl of Minerva
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PostPosted: Sun Aug 16, 2009 8:28 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Harrington    Takes 8 on a par 3  
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archie mackenzie
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PostPosted: Sun Aug 16, 2009 9:38 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

yang is playing out of hes skin here
out playing tiger
tremendous effort
cheers archie.
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archie mackenzie
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PostPosted: Sun Aug 16, 2009 11:10 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

cool has a cucumber this y.e.chang
fantastic effort and well played on winning your 1st major
the commentor just mentioned hes the first asian player to ever win a major has well
cheers archie.


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