forum.sports-pro.co.uk A discussion forum devoted to people who want to talk about sports and sports betting! People without a sense of humour need not apply!!
Posted: Mon Oct 20, 2008 8:35 pm Post subject: Re: breeders cup turf
Owl of Minerva wrote:
newyorktony wrote:
conduit looks to have a great chance in this at around 5s........
Absolutely no chance, dreadful price!
Haha..i dont know for sure if your being sarcastic, but i think he is a dreadful price because i think 3 horses have the beating of him, SOF, Eagle Mountain and Red Rocks.
Posted: Tue Oct 21, 2008 7:51 pm Post subject: Re: breeders cup turf
jayfle wrote:
Owl of Minerva wrote:
newyorktony wrote:
conduit looks to have a great chance in this at around 5s........
Absolutely no chance, dreadful price!
Haha..i dont know for sure if your being sarcastic, but i think he is a dreadful price because i think 3 horses have the beating of him, SOF, Eagle Mountain and Red Rocks.
If Conduit wins this race I'll give up gambling. I actually think newyorktony must be winding us up saying that 5's is a good price. No chance.
With Red Rock Canyon likely to enforce a scorching gallop throughout, I don't think Red Rocks or Winchester will stay the trip properly. If they prove me wrong and do, then admittedly, they would both possess very good chances to land the spoils.
Soldier of Fortune is the best horse in the race, and despite the firm ground, only a 3 week break and the tight track (he won at Chester but don't think it played to his strengths), I still think he represents value at 9/2.
Granted, RRC could set up the race for the fast finishing Grand Couterier.
red rocks will have a decent pace to chase after-he got it at churchill and this summer at belmont-in fact he got blistering paces both times-not sure he will get a hot pace
but the negative might be form
gc appears to like the yielding and it wont be that
if SOF wins this then aiden obrien should be hauled over the coals.he has stated in the past that SOF needs cut.no way on gods green earth that it will be anything like that at santa anita. _________________ sticks & stones may break my bones but whips & chains excite me
if SOF wins this then aiden obrien should be hauled over the coals.he has stated in the past that SOF needs cut.no way on gods green earth that it will be anything like that at santa anita.
"He's one of those horses, the ground doesn't affect him," O'Brien said. "He's very natural, and he keeps pushing himself forward, whether it's soft or fast.
"He's a very good mover too, he doesn't bend his knee much and he should have no problem with fast ground."
Aidan O'Brien on Soldier of Fortune, to Greg Wood in today's Guardian _________________ This is like a flashback,
This is like a dream
SOF if coming on for his Arc run will be a force, but i think Eagle Mountain is the class act of the race and is where i've stuck my potatoes, might have a saver on SOF @ 4/1. I said it in the Leger and I'll say it again, i just can't see it happening with Conduit. _________________ 2009 BCT Winner - Conduit
2009 BCM Winner - Goldikova
2009 BCC Winner - Rip Van Winkle
I personally think a lot of these will not stay, Soldier Of Fortune is the best horse in the race and RRC will set this up perfectly for him to play his hand. The ground isn't a big concern for me, he obviously won the Prix Niel on what was effectly fast ground.
4/1 is a great EW bet in my view, plus O'Brien and Murtagh are due a change of fortunes during the BC Meeting.
I think there are a few -ves for SoF (ground, track, recent run in Arc) but that is made up for by his very fair price I guess. I would have thought he'd have been 5/2 or 9/4 favourite against these but it seems the market has the same doubts about him. Such a hard race to call; any of the first 5 in the market could take it. I just can't be having Conduit though - I hope he runs unplaced just to slightly vindicate me after I also wrote him off for the Leger
You cannot post new topics in this forum You cannot reply to topics in this forum You cannot edit your posts in this forum You cannot delete your posts in this forum You cannot vote in polls in this forum
FAQ
Search
Memberlist
Usergroups
Join! (free) 
Profile
Log in to check your private messages
Log in
